Now is the time for Australia to commit to a 2020 net zero greenhouse gas emissions target

Seize the day!


The pandemic has made it a much easier target to achieve and it will support the commitments of other countries. China has just committed to net zero by 2060, which raises the likelihood that the world will achieve net zero before then.

The pandemic has made it easier for Australia in two ways.

First, Australia’s per capita emissions have been falling and now our population growth rate is slowing significantly for a year or two. Before the pandemic Treasury forecast that Australia’s population would be almost 27 million by the end of 2022. Now Treasury projects a figure of less than 26 million by then. The population at the end of 2019 was 25.52 million, so this would be a very significant slowdown. It is mainly due to a very substantial reduction in net migration towards zero or possibly even a negative figure. The number of births may fall a little due to the recession and lower migration which is concentrated in age groups where fertility is high.

Second, absolute emissions will likely decline in 2020 due to a near shutdown in air travel and much less travel by motor vehicle as many employees have been working from home and interstate travel has been restricted.

The International Energy Agency expects global CO2 emissions to drop by 8% this year.

There is no better time than the present to make this commitment with confidence that it can be achieved in the wake of the current slowdown with current and emerging technology in energy production, beef production, and manufacturing.
Charlie Nelson


An unexpected opportunity to ameliorate climate change

Action to limit COVID-19 transmission has had the valuable side-effect of reducing greenhouse gasses and air pollution. There has been a significant reduction in air and car travel.  Travel contributes about 20% of all greenhouse gas emission (it varies between countries).  Also, there is less electricity consumed by businesses.

The shutdowns will eventually end but now we have a rare opportunity to lock in and magnify the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.

As well as reducing current greenhouse gas emissions, we need to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere which was emitted by human activity in the past.  Trees are currently the only technology for doing this and many trees were lost in the widespread bushfires of 2019-20.

“In addressing climate change, few actions are as critical, as urgent, or as simple, as planting trees.  It literally reverses the process that has led to climate change”.
The future we choose: surviving the climate crisis, by Christiana Figueres & Tom Rivett-Carnac.

Trees provide food and habitat for animals.  They provide shade and cooling.  They also recycle rainwater – they pump water from the ground into the atmosphere.

The impact of trees on carbon dioxide sequestration is huge, as indicated by how much was released in Australia’s tragic bushfires in the summer of 2019-20.

“Australia’s bushfire crisis burnt about 7.4 million hectares of temperate forests and released 830 million tonnes of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, an amount almost double the nation’s annual emissions from energy, industry and transportation.

The extra emissions will not be counted towards Australia’s Kyoto and Paris agreement targets, however, because it is assumed the CO2 will be reabsorbed by trees as they regrow”. The Australian 21 April 2020.

We need to accelerate that reabsorbing, by planting many more trees, because the extra emissions do count towards global atmospheric carbon dioxide and climate change.

We should plant as many trees as we can – either on our own properties or by paying for them to be planted elsewhere



There are many organisations which will plant trees on our behalf, via donations which are usually tax deductible.  Here are some:


Trees for life

Tree project

Greening Australia


Charlie Nelson



The importance of generating renewable energy close to where it is demanded

Our electricity grid was designed for transmitting electricity from huge generators across the country.  Its design is not optimal for transmitting electricity from the distant extremes of the grid back to cities.  It will take some time to re-develop the grid to transmit electricity from remote solar and wind farms to where the greatest demand is.  The grid also needs to become more intelligent so that it can adapt to where the energy is coming from, which can be variable.

Furthermore, up to 10% of generated electricity can be lost in transmission.

For these reasons and others, I was very pleased with the Australian Labor Party’s election promise to spend $1 billion to equip thousands of public schools with solar panels.  Schools are at the centre of communities and so close to demand.

The schools should also be equipped with batteries to store energy and to deliver it at peak times – in the early evening, when schools are mostly empty and households are ramping up demand for heating or cooling, and lighting.  They could also deliver excess electricity during weekends.

Other properties which would also be important generators are suburban railway stations.  Many have large roof areas and the stations are distributed across suburbs and regional towns.

And what about solar panels between the tracks?  There are thousands of kilometres of track in Sydney and Melbourne, with the potential to generate huge amounts of electricity in the suburbs.

With all of this extra generation and storage capacity, we could progressively retire some ancient coal fired power stations.

Charlie Nelson



Can we suck carbon dioxide out of the air?

Atmospheric carbon dioxide is still rising and looks set to continue rising for decades to come.  This makes a limit of a two degrees Celsius temperature increase, compared with pre-industrial times, rather difficult to achieve.  Accordingly, we need to urgently implement ways of sucking carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere.  This is not the same as carbon capture and storage, which captures carbon dioxide from the chimneys of coal-fired power stations and stores it underground.

There are at least three ways to achieve carbon dioxide removal from ambient air.

One method, described in New Scientist on 21 July 2012, is ocean fertilisation.  This involves tipping iron into the ocean.  Phytoplankton, floating algae, absorb carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere.  When they die, they sink to the seabed taking the carbon with them.  Ocean regions which are iron deficient are not providing the nutrients which plankton need to grow.  In these regions, carbon dioxide is not being absorbed.  Silicon is also needed by the plankton.

A trial reported in the New Scientist article showed that ocean fertilisation can work.  At best, however, a global program could absorb about one gigatonne of carbon per year, about one-tenth of current emissions resulting from human activity.  According to modelling by Ken Caldera, this is “too little to be the solution, but it’s too much to ignore”.

Another method involves channelling air by fans onto a honeycombed plastic slab, where carbon dioxide, which is acidic, reacts with aqueous potassium hydroxide, which is alkaline.  Then the resulting solution of potassium carbonate is filtered before reacting with calcium hydroxide, producing potassium hydroxide along with pellets of calcium carbonate.  Heating this to 900 degrees Celsius releases pure carbon dioxide gas which is captured.  The principles were first established by Klaus S. Lackner 20 years ago but now Carbon Engineering, founded by David Keith with backers including Bill Gates, has established a pilot plant which extracts a tonne of carbon dioxide from the air per day. (The Economist, 9 June 2018).

But what would we do with the captured carbon dioxide and how much would this all cost?  The plan is to turn it back into fuel – which would mean that zero, rather than negative, emissions would be the outcome.  This may be worthwhile if the fuel is produced at a competitive price.  But with a transition to renewable energy, would the fuel produced be actually needed?  And would it be cheap enough to supplant coal, oil, and gas?  If the future of the automobile is electric, does this idea have a long-term benefit?  If not, what would we do with the carbon dioxide sucked out of the air?  The cost of building enough machines to be effective would cost trillions of dollars.

The third way is proven technology and could achieve a significant reduction in atmospheric carbon dioxide, plus it would have many other benefits.

Trees!  We have deforested much of the land and now we need to reforest it.

The Economist article dismissively says that achieving the desired reduction would mean foresting an area the size of India and Canada.  So what?  We don’t have to plant them all in one place!  Trees not only soak up carbon dioxide, they provide cooling shade.  In addition, they provide habitat for animals and insects and food.

The area of Canada is 10 million square km and the area of India is 3.3 million.  The total land area of the world is 149 million.  No doubt some of that would not be suitable for tree planting.

Many countries have large land areas and trees can be planted beneficially in cities, on borders of farming areas as well as large areas of land.

China, the US, Brazil, and Australia all have areas comparable with Canada and Russia has even more (16.4 million).

My priority is to contribute t tree planting and it is easy to do.  Countries that I have contributed to include Brazil, China, Indonesia, and Australia.

It would be good if Bill Gates contributes too – he has much more money that I and could make a huge difference.

Charlie Nelson